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Pokémon pack value: expected value by set

What is a Pokémon booster pack actually worth? Below is the expected pack value — the average market value of the cards inside a single pack — for every modern set, next to its sealed price. Card prices refresh daily, so these numbers track the live market.

Last updated November 2, 2026.

#SetSealed packExpected valueEV ÷ sealedRip on RipVault
1Sword & Shield: Evolving Skies
Sword & Shield · 2021
$45.68$13.7630%$21.12
2Scarlet & Violet: Black Bolt
Scarlet & Violet · 2025
$15.25$6.8445%$10.46
3Scarlet & Violet (JP): Pokémon Card 151
Japanese · 2023
$14.19$6.8348%$9.76
4Scarlet & Violet: White Flare
Scarlet & Violet · 2025
$13.00$6.0647%$9.67
5Mega Evolution (JP): MEGA Dream ex
Japanese · 2025
$16.00$5.4934%$14.33
6Scarlet & Violet: Prismatic Evolutions
Scarlet & Violet · 2025
$14.24$5.1636%$8.56
7Scarlet & Violet (JP): Black Bolt
Japanese · 2025
$7.00$4.8069%$6.79
8Sword & Shield: Lost Origin
Sword & Shield · 2022
$15.83$4.5929%$7.50
9Scarlet & Violet: Pokémon 151
Scarlet & Violet · 2023
$28.50$4.3215%$6.83
10Scarlet & Violet (JP): White Flare
Japanese · 2025
$7.00$4.1760%$6.80
11Mega Evolution: Ascended Heroes
Mega Evolution · 2026
$13.88$4.1030%$9.39
12Scarlet & Violet: Paldean Fates
Scarlet & Violet · 2024
$21.34$3.7618%$5.73
13Mega Evolution
Mega Evolution · 2025
$7.19$3.6951%$6.14
14Sword & Shield: Silver Tempest
Sword & Shield · 2022
$11.53$3.6932%$6.08
15Scarlet & Violet: Shrouded Fable
Scarlet & Violet · 2024
$10.69$3.6334%$5.44
16Scarlet & Violet (JP): Super Electric Breaker
Japanese · 2024
$5.63$3.4661%$4.96
17Sword & Shield: Brilliant Stars
Sword & Shield · 2022
$13.59$3.2524%$5.10
18Mega Evolution: Pitch Black
Mega Evolution · 2026
$6.80$3.2147%$4.28
19Scarlet & Violet (JP): Glory of Team Rocket
Japanese · 2025
$6.00$3.2154%$5.34
20Mega Evolution: Phantasmal Flames
Mega Evolution · 2025
$10.34$3.1230%$5.99
21Scarlet & Violet (JP): Ruler of the Black Flame
Japanese · 2023
$6.00$3.1152%$4.44
22Scarlet & Violet (JP): Triplet Beat
Japanese · 2023
$6.00$3.1052%$4.43
23Scarlet & Violet: Temporal Forces
Scarlet & Violet · 2024
$9.19$3.0934%$4.24
24Sword & Shield: Crown Zenith
Sword & Shield · 2023
$23.99$3.0413%$8.72
25Scarlet & Violet: Destined Rivals
Scarlet & Violet · 2025
$9.00$2.8532%$4.64
26Scarlet & Violet: Twilight Masquerade
Scarlet & Violet · 2024
$8.39$2.8033%$4.40
27Mega Evolution (JP): Storm Emeralda
Japanese · 2026
$7.99$2.7434%$6.80
28Mega Evolution (JP): Inferno X
Japanese · 2025
$6.50$2.7242%$4.30
29Scarlet & Violet (JP): Battle Partners
Japanese · 2025
$5.64$2.7148%$3.87
30Scarlet & Violet: Paldea Evolved
Scarlet & Violet · 2023
$13.91$2.6519%$3.79
31Scarlet & Violet: Surging Sparks
Scarlet & Violet · 2024
$7.58$2.5434%$3.76
32Scarlet & Violet (JP): Raging Surf
Japanese · 2023
$6.75$2.4636%$4.04
33Scarlet & Violet: Stellar Crown
Scarlet & Violet · 2024
$9.15$2.4527%$3.24
34Scarlet & Violet (JP): Clay Burst
Japanese · 2023
$6.91$2.4335%$4.04
35Mega Evolution (JP): Nihil Zero
Japanese · 2026
$7.00$2.3934%$4.97
36Mega Evolution: 30th Celebration
Mega Evolution · 2026
$13.99$2.3817%$6.96
37Mega Evolution (JP): Mega Brave
Japanese · 2025
$6.50$2.3636%$6.14
38Scarlet & Violet: Obsidian Flames
Scarlet & Violet · 2023
$11.49$2.3420%$3.40
39Scarlet & Violet (JP): Mask of Change
Japanese · 2024
$5.20$2.3044%$3.86
40Mega Evolution: Chaos Rising
Mega Evolution · 2026
$6.94$2.2833%$4.13
41Scarlet & Violet (JP): Crimson Haze
Japanese · 2024
$7.00$2.2632%$3.21
42Scarlet & Violet (JP): Ancient Roar
Japanese · 2023
$8.43$2.2226%$3.17
43Mega Evolution (JP): Mega Symphonia
Japanese · 2025
$6.50$2.1934%$5.29
44Scarlet & Violet (JP): Cyber Judge
Japanese · 2024
$5.00$2.1743%$4.23
45Scarlet & Violet: Paradox Rift
Scarlet & Violet · 2023
$8.85$2.1624%$2.91
46Scarlet & Violet (JP): Snow Hazard
Japanese · 2023
$4.75$2.0343%$2.93
47Mega Evolution: Perfect Order
Mega Evolution · 2026
$6.25$2.0032%$3.87
48Mega Evolution (JP): Ninja Spinner
Japanese · 2026
$7.00$1.9628%$5.97
49Scarlet & Violet
Scarlet & Violet · 2023
$9.10$1.9521%$2.93
50Mega Evolution (JP): Abyss Eye
Japanese · 2026
$4.00$1.9549%$3.47
51Scarlet & Violet: Journey Together
Scarlet & Violet · 2025
$6.20$1.9431%$3.30
52Scarlet & Violet (JP): Hot Air Arena
Japanese · 2025
$7.00$1.8526%$2.57
53Scarlet & Violet (JP): Future Flash
Japanese · 2023
$5.00$1.2725%$1.79

How we calculate this

Expected value (EV) is the probability-weighted average of every card a pack can produce. For each slot we take the odds of every eligible card, multiply by that card's live market price, and sum across all slots. It's the average value of the cards in one pack — not a guarantee.

Variance is high. Most packs return less than the EV and a few return far more — that's the entire point of the chase. A set with a $13 EV is carried by rare hits worth hundreds; the typical pack lands below the average.

Card prices are refreshed daily from live market data. Sealed prices are current retail/secondary references. See the methodology behind the odds on any set's odds page, or read how pack odds work.

Open any of these for less than sealed

RipVault opens digital packs on the real sealed odds, priced below buying the sealed product — keep what you pull, ship the physical card, or sell it back instantly.